JV
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London, UK

Javal Vyas

PhD Researcher • Risk & Reliability in Generative Decision Systems

Risk • Reliability • Uncertainty • Convergence (sequential decision-making in dynamic systems)

I study generative models as stochastic decision policies in dynamic systems—and build mechanisms to make them measurable, controllable, and reliable under constraints. My work focuses on risk-aware validation, uncertainty/entropy diagnostics, and convergence behavior in sequential decision-making, with applications to industrial control and operations.

Stochastic policies in dynamic systems Risk-aware reliability + validation Uncertainty / entropy diagnostics Convergence under constraints Stochastic optimization under constraints

Core question

When can we trust a stochastic policy?

Risk + reliability for sequential decision-making under constraints

Mechanism

Validation loops + measurable failure metrics

Constraint violation → targeted reprompting / policy shaping

Applied setting

Dynamic systems (control + operations)

Latency constraints, safety envelopes, and action correctness

Selected Work

Systems + experiments that make stochastic policies safer, measurable, and more reliable under constraints.

GraphRAG-powered agentic fault handling for controlled operations. Structured context injection + validator-guided action selection (paper under review).

Theme

Risk-aware recovery

Method

Graph + tools + validation

GraphRAG Agentic Systems Risk & Reliability
  • Relation-aware retrieval for decision-time grounding
  • Action-oriented agents (not just Q&A)
  • Designed around constraints, latency, and failure costs

Study on transforming operational information into constraint-consistent actions using agentic LLM workflows.

Goal

Action correctness

Lens

Constraints + safety

Agents Control Reliability
  • Information → action pipelines with validation
  • Failure-mode taxonomy for iteration
  • Operator-facing framing for controlled operations

Open-source scheduling package for reproducible process scheduling workflows (first author).

Type

OSS package

Domain

Scheduling

Scheduling Optimization Open Source
  • Clean interfaces for experiments and reuse
  • Reproducible scheduling workflows

Optimization + ML surrogate integration to improve efficiency and feasibility handling in scheduling problems.

Angle

Surrogate modeling

Scope

Large OSS

Optimization Surrogates Scheduling
  • Surrogate integration for optimization
  • Engineering contributions on a large open-source project

Engineering-first bridge into quant: signals + backtesting hygiene + disciplined evaluation to avoid false discoveries.

Theme

Signals + evaluation

Goal

Reliable iteration

Backtesting Evaluation Research Hygiene
  • Evaluation hygiene to reduce spurious results
  • Clear experiment structure for iteration and ablations

Trajectory-level health metrics (validity/consistency/invalid-transition suppression) that map failures to actionable interventions. Available on request.

Uncertainty Reliability Sequential Decision-Making
  • Metrics that map to intervention (not just accuracy)
  • Designed to reason about policy health and structural errors

Research

Selected publications + current directions (risk, reliability, and convergence in generative decision systems).

Work in progress

  • Reliability envelopes for generative policies
    Define measurable reliability/violation metrics and map them to decision-time interventions (constraints, validation, structured context).
  • Risk controllability with statistical guarantees
    Fault detection (e.g., HMMs) → action proposal (LLMs) → data-driven verification (to avoid model mismatch) → conformal predictors for calibrated guarantees.
  • Capability selection without luck
    Determine when/which model to use a priori via task structure, failure cost, and empirical capability frontiers ("jagged frontier").

Full publication list: Google Scholar .

Writing

Public writing and research notes on risk, reliability, and decision-time validation.

Medium • 2026

Writing on risk, reliability, and decision-time validation for AI systems.

Under review • 2026

GraphRAG + agentic fault handling for safer, constraint-consistent action selection.

Skills

A compact stack for building reliable, testable decision systems.

Core

Python Git Linux Docker CI/CD

Probabilistic / Decision Systems

Stochastic policies Uncertainty diagnostics Risk-aware evaluation Conformal prediction (in progress) HMMs (in progress)

LLMs / Agents

Agentic workflows Retrieval/GraphRAG Validation loops Reprompting Tool use

Optimization

Scheduling MILP/MINLP Surrogates Experiment design

Systems

Control thinking Fault handling Safety envelopes Latency-aware design

Contact

If you’re working on decision-making under uncertainty (control, ML, or quantitative systems), I’m happy to chat.

Best way to reach me: javalvyas2000@gmail.com